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These Updating Maps Show Predicted Wind, Rain, And Floods From Hurricane Michael

The forecasts, which are from the National Hurricane Center and the National Weather Service, will update automatically.

Last updated on October 10, 2018, at 1:28 p.m. ET

Posted on October 8, 2018, at 2:28 p.m. ET

Hurricane Michael hit the Florida Panhandle as a Category 4 hurricane.

Peter Aldhous / BuzzFeed News / Via nhc.noaa.gov

The map above shows the most likely predicted path, but storms’ tracks are difficult to forecast; about one-third of the time, the center of a storm may move outside of the predicted cone of uncertainty drawn around the best track.

The color gives an estimate of the likelihood of that area experiencing hurricane-force winds — meaning greater than 74 miles per hour — over the next five days.

Michael is also likely to dump large amounts of rain across Florida’s Gulf Coast and farther inland. This map shows the predicted rainfall over the coming seven days.

Peter Aldhous / BuzzFeed News / Via wpc.ncep.noaa.gov

The storm brought dangerous surges of seawater when it hits the Florida Panhandle. Floods caused by surging seas are usually the biggest killers when powerful hurricanes make landfall.

Peter Aldhous / BuzzFeed News / Via nhc.noaa.gov

After the immediate coastal inundation, rainfall may cause flash floods and in the coming days cause rivers to swell and burst their banks.

Peter Aldhous / BuzzFeed News / Via ncep.noaa.gov

In the map above, the blue shading shows areas at risk of flash flooding over the coming day. The colored circles show the locations and longest available forecast for flooding at stream gauges that are set up to monitor river heights.

Forecasts are only available for the locations of stream gauges that have sufficient historical data to predict how a river will respond to rainfall, so they do not provide a complete guide to where rivers may flood. Always obey evacuation orders from local officials.

See here for the latest watches and warnings about the storm and here for other information from the National Hurricane Center.

UPDATE

Updated to include maps of predicted flooding.

UPDATE

Updated to include storm surge warnings and watches.

UPDATE

Updated to reflect status of Hurricane Michael at landfall.


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