Skip To Content
BuzzFeed News Home Reporting To You

Utilizamos cookies, próprios e de terceiros, que o reconhecem e identificam como um usuário único, para garantir a melhor experiência de navegação, personalizar conteúdo e anúncios, e melhorar o desempenho do nosso site e serviços. Esses Cookies nos permitem coletar alguns dados pessoais sobre você, como sua ID exclusiva atribuída ao seu dispositivo, endereço de IP, tipo de dispositivo e navegador, conteúdos visualizados ou outras ações realizadas usando nossos serviços, país e idioma selecionados, entre outros. Para saber mais sobre nossa política de cookies, acesse link.

Caso não concorde com o uso cookies dessa forma, você deverá ajustar as configurações de seu navegador ou deixar de acessar o nosso site e serviços. Ao continuar com a navegação em nosso site, você aceita o uso de cookies.

Romney Campaign Challenges The Polls

Adviser says internal polling says the race is much tighter than the public polls suggests. "We are, by any stretch, within the margin of error in Ohio," says Beeson.

Posted on September 25, 2012, at 2:51 p.m. ET

Brian Snyder / Reuters

DAYTON, Ohio — Amid a flurry of recent polls showing Mitt Romney badly trailing in key swing states — especially in Ohio — a campaign adviser told reporters Tuesday that the race there is much closer than public polling suggests.

Asked about a new Washington Post poll showing Romney down eight points in Ohio, political director Rich Beeson said their internal polls are telling a different story.

"The public polls are what the public polls are," Beeson said. "I kind of hope the Obama campaign is basing their campaign decisions on the public polls... I have great faith in our data."

Beeson declined to elaborate on how their polls differed from those of media outlets, but he said, "We are, by any stretch, inside the margin of error in Ohio."

He added that Obama campaign manager Jim Messina is "sort of spiking the ball at the 30-yard line" when it comes to winning Ohio.

The tough talk is no doubt an effort to project confidence on the eve of an aggressive bus tour in the Buckeye State, and calm the nerves of donors, activists, and Republican establishment types who see Romney's path to 270 electoral votes becoming increasingly narrow as victory in Ohio fades from likelihood.

But it also comes at a time when conservative complaints about polling are reaching a fever pitch. Critics complain that public polls are oversampling Democrats based on 2008 exit polls — a year when, most political observers agree, the Democratic base was unusually excited. Pollsters have countered that self-reported party identification is fluid, with swing voters often associating with the party of whichever candidate they are leaning toward when they take part in the survey.

Beeson said he wouldn't be drawn into the "parlor game" of quibbling with the model and methodology of public polls, but he said, "I think it's probably going to be different than 2008 exits."

A campaign aide told BuzzFeed that their internal Ohio polls use a sample of "D+5" — meaning, Democrats represent a portion of the respondents five percentage points higher that that of Republicans. Most public polls are closer to D+8, or D+9. This could explain why the campaign believes the Ohio race is closer than is being reported.

A BuzzFeed News investigation, in partnership with the International Consortium of Investigative Journalists, based on thousands of documents the government didn't want you to see.